New Delhi:
The Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) is projected to emerge on top in the Assembly elections in Punjab, as per the ABP C-Voter Exit Poll.
According to the Exit Poll projections, AAP is likely to win 51-61 seats in the 117-member Punjab Assembly. The magic figure to form the government is 59.
Punjab’s principal Opposition party AAP is likely to wrest power from the incumbent Congress, which, according to the Exit Poll, is likely to win 25 seats.
The third spot is expected to be secured by the Shiromani Akali Dal (SAD), which is projected to win 23 seats.
The BJP’s alliance with the newly-formed Punjab Lok Congress party of Amarinder Singh is likely to manage only 10 seats in these elections.
Punjab has three regions — Doaba, Malwa and Majha. According to the Exit Poll, in the 23 seats of Doaba region, a tie is expected between the Congress and AAP with each securing seven seats, while SAD may get five seats and BJP three.
The Shiromani Akali Dal might outrun all the rival parties in the Majha region by securing eight of the 25 seats. The Congress is expected to win seats, followed by AAP (six) and BJP (four).
In the crucial Malwa region, AAP is likely to win as many as 43, followed by Congress (11) and SAD (10). The BJP might have to settle with only just three seats in the region.
Thre current survey findings and projections are based on C-Voter Exit Poll/Post Poll personal interviews conducted on pollling day and after polling day among 18+ adults statewide.
The sample size for Punjab was 16,533. The projections come with 95 per cent Confidence interval.
The ABP C-Voter Exit Poll indicates that the Congress is likely to form the next government in Uttarakhand.
According to the Exit Poll, Congress is likely to win 35 seats in the 70-member Uttarakhand Assembly, while the ruling BJP is projected to win 29 seats in Uttarakhand. The Congress is falling short of the halfway mark of 36 by just one seat.
Debutant Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) is likely to win one seat.
The key of the government is likely to be in the hands of Independents and others who are projected to win five seats. Mayawati’s Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP) is likely to win three seats.
The Exit Poll projected a seat range of 32 to 38 for the Congress, and 26 to 32 for the BJP. Others are projected to win three to seven seats in Uttarakhand, while the AAP is likely to win zero to two seats.
In the 2017 Assembly polls, the BJP had won 57 seats in Uttarakhand, the Congress managed only 11 seats, while two seats went to Independents.
The Exit Poll also indicates a decline in BJP’s vote share by 5.7 per cent from 46.5 per cent in 2017 to 40.8 per cent in 2022. The Congress’ vote share is projected to increase by 5.8 per cent to 39.3 per cent in 2022 from 33.5 per cent in 2017.
AAP is likely to get 8.7 per cent votes in Uttarakhand, while others are projected to get 11.2 per cent votes.
Thre current survey findings and projections are based on C-Voter Exit Poll/Post Poll personal interviews conducted on pollling day and after polling day among 18+ adults statewide.
The sample size for for Uttarakhand was 17,480. The projection comes with 95 per cent Confidence interval.
The BJP is likely to capture 23 to 27 seats in the 60-member Manipur Assembly while Congress may win 12 to 16 seats, according to the ABP-C-Voter Exit Poll.
The ruling BJP’s two estranged allies — National People’s Party (NPP) and Naga People’s Front (NPF), who fought the elections separately, are likely to bag 10 to 14 and 3 to 7, respectively.
The current survey findings and projections are based on C-Voter Exit Poll/Post Poll personal interviews conducted on polling day and after polling day among 18+ adults statewide.
The sample size was 5,269, and the projection comes with a 95 per cent Confidence interval.
The Congress may lose up to 14 seats while the Bharatiya Janata Party likely to get a moderate improvement with 4 seats than the previous election.
The NPP is likely to boost its strike rate by 11.2 per cent, an improvement from its 5 percentage in 2017 with a 6.1 per cent swing, the highest among all the parties that can be a game-changer in the northeastern state.
The NPF, a major ally of the United Democratic Alliance (UDA) led India’s first all party and opposition less government in neighbouring Nagaland, is likely to win 3 to 7 seats in Manipur.
Others may win 2 to 6 seats, as per the survey.
When Congress suffer with 6.4 per cent decline of seats, the NPP may gain 6.2 per cent of seats, as per the survey.
The ruling BJP is set to retain power in the crucial state of Uttar Pradesh with a tally of 236 seats, as per the ABP C-Voter Exit Poll.
However, the BJP will return to power with a reduced margin in the 403-member UP Assembly, with a loss of 89 seats after winning 325 seats in 2017.
The Samajwadi Party will put up an impressive show and is likely to get 140 seats, up 92 from its previous tally of 48 seats, but far short to challenge the Yogi Adityanath-led BJP in Uttar Pradesh.
The Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP) is projected to win 17 seats, while six seats will go to the Congress.
The BJP is holding on to its vote share at 40.5 per cent, down by a mere 0.9 per cent. The SP is gaining 10 per cent vote share at 33.6 per cent.
The sample size for the Exit Poll was 1.04 lakh in Uttar Pradesh.
In other states, the Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) is ahead in Punjab, the Congress is within striking distance of the majority mark in Uttarakhand, while Goa is again throwing up a hung Assembly, as per the Exit Poll.
Arvind Kejriwal’s AAP is way ahead of the Congress and Akali Dal in Punjab, as per the Exit Poll.
AAP is projected to get 56 seats in the 117-member Punjab assembly, within kissing distance of the majority mark. The ruling Congress is slated to get 25 seats while the Akali Dal is projected to get 23 seats.
The X factor in Punjab elections is that a large number of marginal seats will be decisive.
In Uttarakhand, the Congress is very close to the majority mark and is projected to get 35 seats in the 70-member Assembly. The ruling BJP is projected to get 29 seats. The others category in Uttarakhand is likely to get 5 seats of which 3 is likely for BSP.
The BJP is losing vote share by 5.7 per cent at 40.8 per cent, while the Congress is gaining the similar numbers at 39.3 per cent.
Goa is projected for a hung Assembly with no party or block getting a majority. The ruling BJP is marginally ahead of Congress with 15 seats in the 40-member Assembly. The Congress alliance is at 14 seats. The MGP is getting 7 seats and AAP is getting 3 seats in Goa, as per the Exit Poll.
BJP’s vote share is at 32.7 per cent, followed by the Congress at 30.2 per cent, AAP at 14.5 per cent and MGP at 10.5 per cent.
In Manipur, there is no clear verdict. The BJP is the single largest party at 25 seats in the 60-member Assembly, followed by Congress at 14 and NPP at 12.
Thre current survey findings and projections are based on C-Voter Exit Poll/Post Poll personal interviews conducted on pollling day and after polling day among 18+ adults statewide.
